Welcome to BGA Extra, where I draw a line under the previous weekend’s game by responding to your questions from BGA during the week. After the jump, I respond to your questions about the win over the Dolphins. If you would like your questions answered in future, remember to read BGA each week and leave your question in the comments section.
On the play Snacks and Ellis blocked for Sheldon it seemed they opened a hole to the right of where he ran. Do you think he was deliberately not running behind them to minimize the risk of rolling up on one of them or other injury scenarios?
I actually think he made a bad read. If he went right, it would have been an easy touchdown. Having said that, both Harrison and Ellis allowed their man to get leverage off their left shoulder so maybe that was their mistake and he was supposed to go left the whole time.
Total speculation, but I got the impression Geno was expecting Nelson to break more towards the middle of the endzone than the front of it [on the throw to the end zone].
Doesn’t look like it from the film. Geno’s stance indicates he was always looking outside and Nelson exectuted the post-corner route well (unless I’m looking at a different play).
david from haifa
With 13 draft picks, who are your projected 13 the Jets cut from the roster to make room? Three are easy but who are the other ten? Would Ricky Sapp have been on this list?
It isn’t that cut and dried because the Jets obviously have several guys out of contract, but also have several guys who ended up the year on injured reserve that figure to be back on the active roster next season. Honestly, as you try and compile a list of the players that probably won’t be back, it’s difficult to get to 10, a surefire sign that the roster depth isn’t as bad as some people think.
I don’t think Ducasse or Reynaud will be back and guys like Salas, Troy Davis, Chris Pantale and Saalim Hakim have their work cut out for them. In addition, we don’t really know what we have in Ijalana, Campbell or Aboushi. Or, for that matter, Schlauderaff. Then you have the obvious cap casualties Sanchez, Holmes and Cromartie and a decision on Harris (who I expect to return). Guys like Cribbs, Winslow, Colon, Garrard and Reed who are not under contract and perhaps weren’t expected back have all had some indications that they might want to return. I really, really want them to bring back Leger Douzable, but he’s going to test free agency and the special teamers Bellore and Lankster might too, but again I hope not. Austin Howard is presumably their biggest free agency priority.
As for Ricky Sapp, he’s a guy that I still feel (and there are players, coaches and people in the front office who agree with me) could have developed into a key contributor if given significant playing time. Obviously it depends who they draft, but even if Antwan Barnes and Calvin Pace are both back next year, there’s still room for a guy like him in a situational rusher role. However, he’s gone now, so that perhaps becomes a need.
Any word on how our 3 automatic inactive have fared in practice? Do we have line depth for next year or are they just overmatched?
All we have to go on is this, from this week’s presser:
Idzik glowing about Will Campbell and Oday Aboushi's improvement this season behind the scenes.—
Brian Bassett (@Brian_Bassett) December 31, 2013
I certainly haven’t given up hope that they could develop into NFL-caliber players. Aboushi struggled in preseason, but he was raw technically (which hopefully is fixable) and did show some improvement over the four games. I actually quite liked what I saw from Campbell and am eager to see how he’s developed.
Your thoughts on rookie Revis v. rookie Milliner? Stats are very comparable; rookie Revis had 87T, 17PD, and 3INT; Milliner had 56T, 17PD, and 3INT. I don’t really recall when Revis became _Revis_, and what the scuttle was coming out of his rookie year.
This is something I’m planning to expand upon in a bigger piece during the offseason, but you’ll be shocked by Revis’ coverage numbers from 2007, which for much of that season were among the worst in the league. Now, I wasn’t doing BGA’s back then, but I can’t recall feeling he was overmatched the way Milliner seemed to be at times and the way Justin Miller was from the start (and never improved). Maybe I’m romanticizing it a bit, but Revis always had a polish to his game where you knew he was eventually going to be good. Milliner didn’t have that for most of the year, but shows some signs down the stretch.
Revis certainly improved over the second half in similar fashion to Milliner (although he was never benched to my recollection). The Jets were a poor team though (4-12), so perhaps Revis wasn’t picked on quite as much because it was even easier to pick on some of that team’s other weaknesses.
I have moderate optimism for Geno, but yesterday I noticed a recurrence of two tendencies that I’m not a huge fan of:
1) Low passes, when inevitably end up with the receiver on the ground and no chance to advance. Is he just trying to be safe and minimize the chance of a pick? (Even though one of Dee’s picks was low, though it was a psedo-trap) This is mainly on the shorter throws, where we really need those YAC.
2) The few plays a game where Geno sprints back like 10 yards right after the snap. It puts him in a really difficult position to produce a gain – a checkdown or a screen here still risks a significant loss, and I end up just hoping for a throwaway/incompletion. Is this in the actual play design?
I’ve noticed both of these things and can’t really comment whether they’re part of the design or just Smith’s personal preference. Most likely he’s still short arming some of his throws to some extent and perhaps he gets spooked by the threat of pressure and tries to buy himself some extra time, but on the whole if he’s being over-cautious and that’s contributed to him making fewer mistakes, then that’s good.
The throw on Milliner interception wasn’t actually that low.
Any thoughts on what they do for a kick returner next year? Goodson?
Cribbs apparently wants to return and I thought he did a good job, but they might end up drafting someone who could contribute in that area. There’s several candidates on the team, but none of them world beaters. This was the first Jets season without a kick return touchdown since 2001, when Craig Yeast was the primary return man.
Request: A GIF or screenshot of the Defensive Line Full House Formation!
Go on then, as it’s Christmas…
I don’t see how the Jets can take the risk that Cromartie will round back into #1 form. Are there any top CBs expected to be available that can be considered an upgrade?
I’ve never been a big Aqib Talib fan, but he plays a ton of press coverage at the line and therefore might be the best fit that’s out there if he hits the open market. Other names include Alterraun Verner and Brent Grimes. Of the two, I prefer Grimes because Verner played right cornerback all season whereas Grimes moved about a lot more.
That’s the top end of the market though and who knows if any of them will even be available. To be an upgrade over Cromartie, who struggled all year, you don’t need to be that good. However, Cromartie himself should be a lot better next year if he sorts his hip issue out.
Miami had their most success on the ground AFTER the Jets subbed in their nickel package in yesterdays game from what is saw, did you notice that as well?
Yes. Lamar Miller was 9 for 57 with the nickel package on the field and 8 for 16 otherwise.
Every time I focused on it, the Dolphins had 6 guys in pass protection. Could you break down the numbers used by them in pass protection and the results for each scenario?
On plays where they left at least one extra guy in (there were three where they left two in), Tannehill was 7-for-13 with 103 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions.
There was one play on offense where one of the Jets pass protectors got knocked backwards and literally looked like he was on roller skates, would you know who this was? The TV coverage switched to a Steelers update instead of showing a replay.
Cumberland (against Wake).
Do you think Landry should be back? I think if we bring Reed back we don’t need Landry.
They’ve got Landry under contract for another year at a reasonable amount, so they should bring him back to camp and see how it goes. If one of the youngsters emerges and makes Landry (or even Reed) expendable, then maybe they can get a pick for one of them. I thought Dawan was much better value for money than his brother, who earns more per season than Landry will over the two years.
Do you think it is a good idea for your QB to run the ball 10 times a game?
This all depends on context. Smith carried the ball 10 times in each of their last two games, both of which were wins. I certainly don’t think they should plan for him to do that, but in isolation most of those runs were good decisions on his part. As teams wise up to this, they’ll have to respect the threat of a run and this will hopefully loosen up the coverage for him to complete more throws. He’s not going to carry 160 times in a season, but if he ever carries 10 times in any one game because he’s taking what the defense gives him, then I’m okay with that.
Thank you for your questions. Stay tuned for plenty more BGA articles throughout the offseason.