Many were impressed by the 0-60 nature of the Jets offense as they transition from the preseason to the regular season, and while there’s still a long way to go, FootballOutsiders.com ran some numbers based on the Jets initial performance and measured it against other fast starting offenses and how they ended up playing out over the course of the season.
Between 2000 and 2011, 65 teams scored 30 or more points in Week 1, led by the 49 points scored by the 2002 Miami Dolphins and 2003 San Francisco 49ers. And more often than not, those teams continued to play well throughout the year, averaging 24.5 points per game over the course of their respective seasons. That’s a scoring output that would have ranked 10th last season. Thirty-nine of those teams (60 percent) finished in the top 10 in scoring, 18 made the top five, and six led the league in points scored.
Of course, the Jets shot right past 30 points, beating that margin by three scores. If we limit our list to the 14 teams that scored 40 or more points in the same timeframe, things look even better for Gang Green. Four of those teams eventually led the league in scoring, and more than half finished in the top five.
Brian Bassett, theJetsBlog.comObjects in motion … tend to stay in motion. Just because the Jets scored so many points in their first game doesn’t tell the whole story, but according to FO it’s certainly a good indicator of what we might expect from the Jets over the course of the season to come.
If the Jets were to average the 24.5 points per game that the article mentions, I think that would be more than enough for this defense to do it’s job … something that’s long been the strength of this team. Of course, if the Jets do end up scoring more than they have in other seasons, it will put more pressure on their passing defense as teams abandon the ground. We’re confident in the Jets coverage, but it also puts pressure back on the defensive line to pressure the quarterback. Just some food for thought.