A look at the 2014 Jets cap spending – defense

Brian Bassett, TheJetsBlog.com

Thanks to the positional spending pages at OverTheCap.com, here’s a quick view at what the distribution of the Jets 2014 projected salary cap looks like graphically.

Taking the positional spending dollar amounts from all 32 teams, I picked the 2013 median value (grey), since the 2013 cap is all but done it gives us a fuller view as to how the NFL has just spent their money in the past season.  Then I compared that to how the Jets currently match up (darker green) for 2014.  Ah, but what about where there are pending cuts at a given position to free up cap space?  I added those new projections (lighter green) where appropriate.

In summary, here’s a few thoughts:

  • The Jets ought to enjoy their bargains at defensive line for as long as they can because the bill for a player like Muhammad Wilkerson will be coming due soon enough.  Of course it isn’t just going to be Mo.  Kenrick Ellis (UFA next year) and Damon Harrison (RFA next year) will be needing new deals before too long, not to mention the rest of the Sons of Anarchy in due course.
  • Since the Jets are so far under other areas, the Jets can spend more elsewhere.  Between Cromartie, Kyle Wilson and Dee Milliner a lot of money is already being spent at corner.  Even so, Cromartie’s current deal (after a down year in 2013) makes it seem obvious that the Jets will want to get back closer to median spending by cutting Cromartie before whatever comes next.
  • Even if the Jets were to cut and re-sign Cromartie, the Jets will be overallocated at corner and that doesn’t account for players who yet might get contracts for the Jets in 2014 like Darrin Walls, Ellis Lankster and Aaron Berry.  The Jets might make a foray into cornerback free agency, but seeing their allocation — even after they cut Cromartie — might make them less inclined to go big despite their abundance of cap room as they work off a cornerback hangover.  It will be interesting to see if the Jets go cold turkey or hair of the dog.
  • As a two-year plan, look to see what the Jets do in the draft around linebacker.  David Harris is in the last year of his contract and the Jets are going to want to spend less at the linebacker position for 2015 onward so they can pay other players in their defense.

chart-d-2014-2-17




25 comments
frustjetfn
frustjetfn

Great post Brian! It brings a dose of reality to the fan that jumps on every big name and says spend, spend, spend. The reality of the NFL is the GM is supposed to allocate funds based not only on O, D and ST but specific position. That was one of the big problems with Revis' demands that many fans chose to ignore. In a team game with a finite cap you can't overpay one player or position, penny pinch on the others and expect everyone to bust their butts so the star(s) can demand even more every other year.

kniff
kniff

The cap savings in letting Sanchez, Holmes, and Cro go allow us (at reasonable market levels) CB Rodgers Cromartie, WR Anquan Boldin, and Guard Brian Orakpo, and still prepare for our D line expense in coming years.


This scenario allows a long term draft strategy including depth, as long as key Jets FAs are resigned...(once again at reasonable market levels)


It is my 50/50 compromise as far as "win now" and "build for future" modes of thought...

davem
davem

Good reading for all Mets fans. Mets fans seem to obsess over payroll and not spending enough money. But money spent doesn't equal production/wins. Jets have dominate DE/DT play while paying peanuts for it, while they are paying a lot for subpar/average CB play

bob
bob

Fatique set in on this D-line last year at times with all that talent up front they need to do better this year at getting to the QB and disrupting plays. in terms of future money evaluation process on the d-line..

a57se
a57se

The Jets will have the following on their roster after they cut Cromartie:

Dee Milliner with a Cap hit of $2.877 Million dollars

Kyle Wilson with a cap hit of $2.387 Million dollars

Ras-I Dowling at $575K

Nick Taylor at $420K

Lowell Rose at $420K


Dowling has spent most of his two years in the NFL on IR, 

Taylor played Basketball in College and played Arena League Football before signing with the Vikings and promptly going on IR. He hasn't played a singlw down in the NFL.

Rose signed with the 49'ers as a UDFA last year and he managed to last in their camp until August 8th when he was cut.


This is Wilson's fifth year and the last of his rookie deal and he would be the Sr. CB on the team.

I don't think any of us want to go to war with this cast.

We NEED another starting CB and at least TWO quality depth guys.

mettle
mettle

They've over spent at corner because Rex always wanted man to man cover guys so he could blitz.  Now that they can get a pass rush without blitzing 8 guys, they don't have to budget as much there.

Brendan
Brendan

@davem  You can't compare them. Mets have no salary cap and a billion dollar TV network they refuse to use for team payroll (like the Yankees use YES). The Mets are currently outspent by 20 teams in the MLB, that's just embarrassing. 

a57se
a57se

@davem  

I don't think Baseball spending equates well to Football spending......

a57se
a57se

@bob  

It would help if the CB's actually press their man at the LOS and disrupt their routes early.

kniff
kniff

@a57se  If Trufant and Walls are not resigned, who would you target in FA and draft 57?

a57se
a57se

@jaygo @davem 

So the Seahawks had 17 guys on their 53 man roster who were 3rd round picks or better......that is a lot of top end talent!

a57se
a57se

@Brendan @davem 

Was it Wilpon who once said the Mets COULD spend as much as the Yankees if they wanted to?

bob
bob

@a57se @bob

Richard Sherman did a great job I thought for Seattle during the Super bowl unlike the Jets.

a57se
a57se

@kniff @a57se 

I can't predict what the Jets WILL do but I would think Trufant is gone and Walls as well. Berry hasn't played a down for us so he may be gone as well.

Lankster is still young and contributes on ST's so I would think he'll be back.

I could see us taking at least 1 CB in the Draft and maybe two.

I'd be surprised if we use a pick as early as the Third but there are a couple guys who might interest the team like Keith McGill out of Utah.

Later in the draft, I really like Chris Davis from Auburn or Walt Aikens from Liberty or Nevin Lawson from Utah St.

I would like us to sign one of the top guys in Free Agency as well.....

a57se
a57se

@jake100  

Are you sure you weren't in SAC during your Air Force years? Saturation bombing seems to be your specialty!

Other than WIlson, none of those guys are on our roster.

Brendan
Brendan

@a57se They usually are good for saying that at least once every offseason. 

bob
bob

@jaygo @bob


I agree Our d-line needs to improve this year being so young I think they will however I do agree with a57se that jamming the wide receivers LOS is just better play coming from CB position.

a57se
a57se

@jake100

Yeah, just like the offensive line and Safety......:)

a57se
a57se

@jake100  

I don't think Berry will be back. He was not signed by Idzik and the guy already has Two arrests in the NFL and has now been on IR twice for the Jets. 

Idzik seems to be emphasizing character even more than Tanny..........

a57se
a57se

@jake100 @a57se 

I am just saying we don't know who the Jets will bring back......the only one I'd say is a lock would be Lankster.

harold
harold

They don't have to spend 89% in any one year.  they just need to average it over a 5 year time frame.  So they could potentially spend less in any given league year.  FWIW