Over at PFF, they’ve been running their “Draft Grader” series, where they look back a few years to grade some recent drafts with the benefit of hindsight. In their analysis for the Jets, it’s a mixed bag, netting out at exactly neutral overall.
The highest scores are awarded to moves where there was a late round pick that became a solid contributor, while the highest negatives of course go to higher picks that did not contribute as hoped.
The Jets certainly fared better than they did in last year’s analysis, which looked at 2008 to 2010.
Bent, TheJetsBlog.comAs with every team, you’re going to have your ups and downs in the draft but, in recent years, the Jets haven’t done as badly as their reputation in some circles would suggest. With the terrible 2008 draft removed from the equation, obviously that improves the outlook significantly. It’s disappointing that some of the positive picks they were given credit for are no longer contributing for whatever reason, but you could optimistically look ahead two years and anticipate that when we get to review the 2011-2013 drafts, things are going to look even better.
Without wanting to nitpick the analysis too much, I can’t agree with their take that Wilkerson’s 2013 performance was not quite as good as 2012. He made just as many (if not more) impact plays and dramatically improved his production in the pass rush. While his run defense grades were down (but still very good), I saw that mainly as a function of the fact he had to take on more double teams with Sione Po’uha and Mike DeVito no longer on the team. Clearly this made a positive contribution to the unit as a whole because they were the top run defense in the league for most of the year.
You might also be surprised to note that they are so down on the Kyle Wilson pick, especially in light of the fact that their own data portrays him as one of the top slot corners in the league. However, this is based on the QB rating whenever he was targeted in the slot, so doesn’t take into account where he didn’t deserve any credit for an unsuccessful play, whereas their grades (according to which he is a slightly below average player) do. Therefore, it’s hard to argue with their take that he has made disappointing contributions for a first round pick, although it will be interesting to see how he performs in his contract year.