Link: PFF grades the Jets’ 2009-2011 drafts

Over at PFF, they’ve been running their “Draft Grader” series, where they look back a few years to grade some recent drafts with the benefit of hindsight. In their analysis for the Jets, it’s a mixed bag, netting out at exactly neutral overall.

The highest scores are awarded to moves where there was a late round pick that became a solid contributor, while the highest negatives of course go to higher picks that did not contribute as hoped.

The Jets certainly fared better than they did in last year’s analysis, which looked at 2008 to 2010.

Bent, TheJetsBlog.com

As with every team, you’re going to have your ups and downs in the draft but, in recent years, the Jets haven’t done as badly as their reputation in some circles would suggest. With the terrible 2008 draft removed from the equation, obviously that improves the outlook significantly. It’s disappointing that some of the positive picks they were given credit for are no longer contributing for whatever reason, but you could optimistically look ahead two years and anticipate that when we get to review the 2011-2013 drafts, things are going to look even better.

Without wanting to nitpick the analysis too much, I can’t agree with their take that Wilkerson’s 2013 performance was not quite as good as 2012. He made just as many (if not more) impact plays and dramatically improved his production in the pass rush. While his run defense grades were down (but still very good), I saw that mainly as a function of the fact he had to take on more double teams with Sione Po’uha and Mike DeVito no longer on the team. Clearly this made a positive contribution to the unit as a whole because they were the top run defense in the league for most of the year.

You might also be surprised to note that they are so down on the Kyle Wilson pick, especially in light of the fact that their own data portrays him as one of the top slot corners in the league. However, this is based on the QB rating whenever he was targeted in the slot, so doesn’t take into account where he didn’t deserve any credit for an unsuccessful play, whereas their grades (according to which he is a slightly below average player) do. Therefore, it’s hard to argue with their take that he has made disappointing contributions for a first round pick, although it will be interesting to see how he performs in his contract year.




24 comments
Paul Samuels
Paul Samuels

WIlkshake has been great the past two seasons. I think that they were a bit harsh on Wilson though

Monty
Monty

zuccarello embellished himself off of his feel by his neck..He has extremely good body control..haha 

Monty
Monty

Everything PFF writes just became suspect...sorry I didn't notice Wilkerson's huge step back last year . The PFF nerds can crawl back into their holes with their calculators now .. 

idothis2
idothis2

i think i'm starting to get on the "Sanjay must go" bandwagon

boomer
boomer

2-0 Rangers!  Sweet.

Brendan
Brendan

1-0 ALREADY LET'S GOOOOOOOOOOOO RANGERS. 


Also, someone tell PFF they made a mistake, per Bradysucks Kerley isn't very good. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Hanknaples

Wilkerson was the focal point of all blocking schemes, received doubles every play (and sometimes triple doubles) and consistently fought through them. 


To start the season, Harrison was consistently getting single-blocked. To his credit, he proved that single-blocking him is a bad idea, but Wilkerson is still the reason everyone else's life is easier on defense. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Monty  Nerds? Seriously? What is this an 80s coming of age movie? 

Monty
Monty

@idothis2  one more year.. Hill will be the key. He got a lot out of David nelson. The problem last year was the drops and genos rookieness...but people were and least  getting open.  If the receivers under perform this year I'm sure hell be gone.. 

Monty
Monty

@Brendan @Monty  hey .. Im am nerd.. dont take everyword i write so seriously ..:) ...Im just saying numbers cant tell the whole story.. wilkerson had a great year,, and I will treat everything PFF writes as suspect.

Brendan
Brendan

@boomer Kerley had more yards in 2012 than Larry Fitzgerald, I guess that means Fitz really isn't any good anymore. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Hanknaples  You have a link to this play? Either way, the hierarchy of the team's DL goes: 


1. Wilkerson 

2. Everyone else


It's silly that you are such a Harrison fanboy you think he's better than Wilkerson, or gets doubled more, or whatever it is. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Hanknaples  The dynamic of the whole line changed because of Harrison and Richardson. Why can't it be both? Adding those two young, dynamic talents next to Wilkerson, the already-established budding star, changed the face of the defense. 


And he wasn't triple-teamed on that play, that's just you being insane again. The play was a botched snap and the ball was kicked out of the endzone. It had nothing to do with Harrison, who wasn't even lined up over the center. It was obvious the center snapped it by mistake, it was before they even had the camera set on the play and half the defense was still running to their position. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Hanknaples  


*whistles and walks over to Bent signal and flips switch*


Fonzie, if you don't mind I would like Bent to confirm that Harrison did in fact get doubled more than Wilkerson in the Tampa Bay game. 


And are you joking about being "triple teamed on Barnes sack?" Please tell me you're joking. Antwan Barnes' sack came on a play where the center snapped it while Josh Freeman wasn't looking and Freeman kicked out of the back of the endzone for a safety as Barnes dove to try and recover it. On that play, Harrison barely moved and was not triple teamed. Here's a link: http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-game-highlights/0ap2000000239938/Freeman-sacked-for-a-safety


Harrison is a great, young and motivated player. I think we're all very excited about seeing how he develops this year, especially in regards to pass rushing because if he can do that reasonably well he'll be an everydown player. But acting like he is the reason other players get single-blocked or he's the reason the DL gets respect is insane. Everyone, including Harrison himself, knows that Mo is the leader and the Alpha Dog on that unit. The beauty of that group is that Harrison might only be 3rd best behind Mo and Richardson, which is scary considering Harrison is one of the best run stuffers in the league without question. But don't get carried away, Wilkerson is still the #1 guy and that isn't going to change anytime soon. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Hanknaples  Hank, I'm not arguing about how great Wilkerson's 2012 season was. It was great, I don't care what degree of great it was. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Monty I doubt you gave it more credence than I did. The difference is I don't like stuff like this matter to me, same thing happened with people swearing PFF off because they didn't pick Richardson as the DROY. 


Their grading is better than anything else you'll have access to, and absolutely better than your eye test (or my eye test). 

Monty
Monty

@Brendan @Monty  well then  their grading is just as suspect. as any other stat.. Maybe I gave more credence to thier analysis  then you did. 

we shall agree to disagree.

Brendan
Brendan

@Monty  Per their grades, which this was based on, he did take a step back. If you were a 10/10 one year and a 9/10 the next, that's technically taking a step back. 

Monty
Monty

@Brendan @Monty  well my butts fine.. thanks for your concern :) .. He had a great year..He was being focused on a lot. If I can see that with my own eyes.. and they cant.. well then thier opinion should hold no more water than yours


I used to hold what they said in a higher regard..They wrote the words Wilk took a step back.. now thier opinion is suspect,

Brendan
Brendan

@Monty  I think Wilkerson should've been in the +1.5 category, but is it that big of a deal to say "everything they write is now suspect?" People get so butthurt over this stuff it's the strangest thing. 

marc55
marc55

Kerley was taken in the 5th, not the 4th... pretty basic thing to mess up in an analysis.