If you looked at a boxscore, you’d think the Jets’ running game did a pretty decent job in this one. Chris Ivory racked up 98 yards and a touchdown on just 15 carries and Bilal Powell averaged 5.4 yards per carry having entering the game averaging just 2.8 yards per carry since Brian Winters became the starter at left guard. Of course, the reality is that these numbers are skewed by Ivory’s 69-yard garbage time run.
While ultimately meaningless, that play does show a tantalizing glimpse of what Ivory can do when you give him some daylight. Other than that play, though, he averaged under two yards per carry. To read more of this story, click here
As the Jets struggled to get their running game going, the suggestion is that they came out flat and the offensive line was dominated in the trenches from the outset. In fact, the offensive line started off pretty well and, on balance, were winning the battle upfront for most of the first quarter. The very first play of the game was extremely well blocked as Nick Mangold walled off his man from getting into the backfield, Brian Winters sealed his man to the inside, David Nelson chipped Mario Williams to the inside and D’Brickashaw Ferguson and Jeff Cumberland pulled out in front of Bilal Powell who ran outside for a first down.
As the game went on, the Bills gradually started to wear the Jets down and the balance shifted. Unfortunately, it was the beleaguered rookie left guard Winters that was taken advantage of more often than not.
Winters has made some improvements since being given the starting job following Vladimir Ducasse’s struggles in week three and four. Initially, he wasn’t having any positive impact blocks at all and it was a challenge for him just to carry out his assignment correctly. He’s gradually started to have more positive moments, including in this game, where he made a few good pulling blocks moving to his right. However, the more he plays, the more teams are becoming aware of how best to take advantage of him. Teams know he’s the weak link and that’s bringing the rest of the line down at times.
Experienced players like the constantly-underrated Kyle Williams simply have far superior technique compared to the rookie and are able to gain leverage advantages, overpowering him and throwing him off balance. At times yesterday, Winters was struggling to make it to the end of a play without being knocked over. In the first quarter alone, he ended up on the ground seven times, including on five snaps in a row to end the period. To read more of this story, click here
Yes, it was windy. Yes, he was under pressure. Yes, he had one or two passes go off his receiver’s hands. Yes, he got banged up early on and that may have affected him later. Yes, he’s still “only a rookie.” Yes, he was under pressure quite a bit. Yes, some of his returning receivers may have been rusty. And, yes, Jeremy Kerley – his favorite target and leading receiver – was out with an elbow injury.
However, at some point you have to stop making excuses, because some of the mistakes Geno Smith is making right now go beyond what’s acceptable at this level.
He knows it. He called himself “awful” after the game and that’s probably not an unfair assessment. This isn’t just a spotty performance blighted by a couple of bad errors, he was inconsistent throughout and has displayed an alarming lack of statistical productivity over the past month or so. To read more of this story, click here
As I mentioned last week, we’re debuting a new-look BGA this week. We’ll be recapping this week’s game just like any other week, but we’ll be dividing the analysis into separate posts so that we can provide you with more regular analysis and a more-focused discussion in the comments throughout the day. You’ll still be able to ask me questions which I’ll address in BGA Extra and for those of you that prefer to read the whole thing in one hit, you’ll get the option to do that when we post the conclusions later today.
Let’s move on to discuss yesterday’s game…
Regrettably, what we saw yesterday from the Jets is fast becoming a signature Jets game during the Rex Ryan era. The narrative is going to be that they came out flat, but — other than a few individual errors in the early stages — they had the game under control. However, it only takes one mistake, one unlucky bounce or one bad call and suddenly they’re chasing the game, something they are ill-equipped to do.
As much as it pains me to say it, given my well-known reputation as a lover of low-scoring football, this is the problem with taking such an approach. You have such a small margin of error that if you fall behind, you’re in trouble. The Jets have proven that they aren’t incapable of coming from behind, but when the big play you need to get back in the game just won’t come, you’re only one mistake, one unlucky bounce or one bad call from a “two steps forward, two steps back” situation. By contrast, all the high-powered offenses around the league can afford to have a few plays go against them, because they always have the ability to get back into a game.
The Rex Ryan Signature Game was supposed to be a low-scoring affair with the Jets coming out on top, but — almost five years in — the Jets have won just one game under Ryan where they scored fewer than 16 points, and, of their five wins when scoring fewer than 22, three were back in 2009. Teams know that they can stay in a game with the Jets if they avoid any major errors and they can often rely on the Jets to beat themselves.
The Jets have now lost 11 games by 17 or more points since November 2011 and what most of these games have in common is that the game was hanging in the balance at one point, only for a series of plays to go against them in bunches. In yesterday’s game, the Bills were punting to the Jets leading just 3-0 late in the second quarter. A costly penalty, a long touchdown on a ball thrown up for grabs on third and long and a strip sack by the Bills followed within the next seven plays and suddenly the Bills are on the doorstep of a 17-0 lead just before the half. Game over? Probably. To read more of this story, click here
During the season, Bent’s Game Analysis charts games for some of the Jets’ upcoming opponents, enabling a break down of what to watch out for on gameday…
I’ve already previewed one game between these teams this season (here), so this will mainly focus on what’s changed since then.
After the jump, I break down the positional groupings (BGA-style!) to try and highlight what the Jets need to look out for. To read more of this story, click here
Yesterday, the Jets signed future hall-of-fame defensive back Ed Reed to a veteran’s minimum contract. Reed is obviously a well-known player, but there’s plenty of intrigue over whether or not he’s got anything left in the tank. He was released by the Houston Texans after they lost their seventh consecutive game for the first time in franchise history.
After the jump, I look in detail at footage from Reed’s 2013 season to evaluate what he is still capable of bringing to the table. To read more of this story, click here
According to YouTube, “if a picture is worth a thousand words, then a video is worth a million”. I’ve therefore been creating some animated gif images with a view to illustrating something better than one of my in-depth articles could.
Today, we’ll be looking at the next generation of elite run-stopping nose tackles in green and white because, after the jump, you’ll see a couple of clips that illustrate the similarities between Damon Harrison and his former teammate Sione Po’uha. To read more of this story, click here
Every year, teams have to let some players go. Even though the Jets did bring back some of their free agents (Including Nick Folk, Tanner Purdum and restricted free agents Austin Howard and Jeff Cumberland), they chose not to bring everyone back. Throughout preseason, Bent’s Game Analysis kept track of the progress of the guys they let go in order to at least start to form some views on whether letting any of these guys loose was a mistake or a smart move and we last provided you with a regular season update in September. Since the Jets are on a bye this weekend, this affords us an ideal opportunity for another update.
We’ll be aiming to cover all of the players and key coaches that were with the Jets during 2012 or 2013 and are now with another team. After the jump, a comprehensive list of how these ex-Jets have been performing so far this season. To read more of this story, click here
One of the most common questions I get asked on TJB is whether the Jets will get any compensatory picks in the next NFL draft. Due to the way the formula works, it’s too early to calculate that for the 2014 draft at this time. However, we can set out the position as it stands and what would need to happen for the potentially qualifying players to count towards the calculation. I will be able to forecast this more accurately once the season is over, as I did in January in 2012 and 2013.
Since I’m doing this, I might as well also summarize the current 2014 draft picks situation for the Jets so that all the information is in one place and we can update this post if there are any additional trades or changes that will affect the picks due to them.
After the jump, I’ll set out the current position and where they stand in terms of potentially qualifying free agent gains and losses. To read more of this story, click here
Welcome to Bent’s Game Analysis, which is based on watching and re-watching TV footage. As such, it is not always possible to accurately determine everything that was going on. However, every effort has been made to ensure that the information below is as complete and correct as possible.
We’re breaking down yesterday’s win over the Saints. Part one is here. In part two, we’re focusing on the defense and special teams.
Join me after the jump as I attempt to cover every angle. To read more of this story, click here