Jets have ninth-toughest schedule

The 2014 NFL strength of schedule figures have been calculated, and the Jets are estimated to have ninth-toughest SOS in the NFL next season, with a combined opponents’ 2013 winning percentage of .520 overall.

The Jets play road games against the Kansas City Chiefs, San Diego Chargers, Tennessee Titans, Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings, as well as their three division rivals. They will host games against the AFC Champion Denver Broncos, the Oakland Raiders, the Pittsburgh Steelers, Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions, in addition to their division rivals.

Six of those teams made the playoffs in 2013, with a few others falling just short.




114 comments
Jeff E. Guy
Jeff E. Guy

By next November the haters will be whining about what an easy schedule we've had.... 

rstysanchz
rstysanchz

hopefully we get the raiders right after our bye week...lets make this the year we sweep the pats 

Vinnie Pedi
Vinnie Pedi

I think I will post something relevant to the article.

When looking at this schedule I am more optimistic and can see a plausible path to 9 even 10 wins.

AFC EAST:

Bills: I feel they will be easier to beat because their defense will be less aggressive & the team overall will not be consistent. I predict a sweep, 2 wins.

Dolphins: I expect them to be alright, atleast a slightly better team. Split: 1 win.

Patriots: For the love of god just split. 1 win.

Chiefs: As much as Id like to win this one, at KC, no win.

Chargers: I dont see us pulling through on this either. No win.

Titans: Big win here, I see the titans in the toilet next season. 1 win.

Packers: At GB? Lose all the way. No win.

Vikings: We can bottle up peterson imho. That translates to a win. 1 win

Broncos: I will be at this game unless its primetime monday night, even then I may still go to see us get spanked by PM. No win.

Raiders: Its the raiders, need I say more? 1 win.

Steelers: So many damn Steelers fans at our home games make me sick. Tough prediction, I say we pull it off, especially if its early year game, but this is the toss up difference to 9 or 10 wins.

Bears: We will eat Jay Cutler alive. 1 win.

Lions: This team will be a mess on defense imho. We will win this game in the trenches & special teams. 1 win.

9-7 if we lose to the steelers - 10-6 if we win.

Let me know what you guys think

toon2388
toon2388

SOS from prior seasons winning % means absolutely nothing.  Teams we think will stink we be good and vice versa.  How many of you thought we would win @ Atlanta 1 year ago today?  How many of you thought we would get waxed by Miami at home?

JCuratola3
JCuratola3

I would do anything for the Jets to trade up and draft Johnny football. What makes the kid bad? Its not like he has a bad throwing motion. Its not like he has bad footwork. Its not like he has bad pocket presence. Its not like he has a weak arm. Its not like hes innacurate. So what if the kid is smaller than what the typical nfl qb is. Guess what a qb smaller than Johnny just won the sb. Size doesnt matter he has taken hits he will be fine. He can make every throw and is probably the best qb in terms of escaping the pocket when it collapses. 


He is going to be something this guy. 

soprano
soprano

My first time commenting on the new board... just registered with sny.


Bent or Basset,


I'm hoping that one of you could do a "Recent Cuts" thread where we can keep up with which teams cut their players and update it as more cuts are made. That way we can discuss who we would like the Jets to go after and why.. I think it could be fun because i'm pretty bored with no football. I visit this site like 10 times a day hoping for some breaking news.. i know u guys work hard and i appreciate all your posts, so i hate to try and put more work on your plate.... just think about it.

Thanks guys.

levi
levi

Who cares? You know who else has a tough schedule? Everybody who plays us!!  Thats right because we gonna kick some arse.!!!!! ok, I started drinking a little early.

D'Apostraphe Lewis
D'Apostraphe Lewis

We've always known that we'll be playing the NFC North and AFC West in 2014, so there are no surprises here, and our division rivals will have to go through the same gauntlet. Interesting to note that we'll be playing in Tennessee for the 3rd season in a row. Hopefully we can finally pull out a win there. Also, I'm happy we get (yet another) shot at the Steelers. 

UncleJoesJetFarm
UncleJoesJetFarm

What I am going on more than the sos which is meaningless at this time, is that the Jets played with a rookie QB and an offensive supporting cast that was severely limited, and now, have massive money and resources to address upgrades on both sides of the ball. Also, Geno who was coming on strong at the end of the season and will now have another year under his belt with some real weapons, will make a substantial jump. In other words, the Jets will make a huge leap that will greatly outweigh the modest increase in a tougher sos, even if one does exist.

a57se
a57se

OK, I am still really bored so here goes my 17 pick Mock Draft with a who you gonna take at 18 from what is left angle!


1.  Cleveland Selects Teddy Bridgewater QB after trading with the Texans

2.  St. Louis Selects Greg Robinson OT

3.  Jaguars Select Blake Bortles QB while cursing out Cleveland.

4.  Houston Selects Sammy Watkins WR

5.  Oakland Selects Jadaveon Clowney DE

6.  Atlanta Selects Anthony Barr OLB

7. TB Selects Kony Ealy DE

8.  Minnesota Selects Johnny Manziel QB

9.  Buffalo Selects Eric Ebron TE

10. Detroit Selects Darqueze Dennard CB

11. Tennessee Selects Mike Evans WR

12. NY Giants Select Jake Matthews OT

13. Miami Selects Taylor Lewan OT after trading with St. Louis

14. Chicago Selects CJ Mosley ILB

15. Pittsburgh Selects Zach Martin OT

16. Baltimore Selects Khalil Mack OLB

17. Dallas Selects Marqise Lee WR

18. NY Jets Select ?????


Review: Watkins, Evans and Lee are gone.

Ebron is gone

j3tsfan29
j3tsfan29

I think its way to early to pick. It depends on so much, for instance: if the Vikings select say bridgewater in a trade with Jacksonville at 3, then ap may not be the only threat. Not only that but when do we play these teams? Are any of the games Monday or Thursday nighters?who gets the annual win after our bye? I think we can do well and I expect that, but it all depends.

Pat d
Pat d

Again it looks like another 8-8 or 7-9 season. Now if we make a change at QB

j3tsfan29
j3tsfan29

Unless they fix the secondary megatron, Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffries the guy we should have picked, will eat us alive. I see losses against Detroit even with Rex putting hot sauce on bush, and then again against Chicago. for all we know it could be McCown playing. Either way our secondary as it stands is not built to stop these types of wrs. Other then that it looks realistic. The X factor for all these games is offense. If our offseason yields a potent offense we are in good shape and those games are winnable. IMO.

UncleJoesJetFarm
UncleJoesJetFarm

@Vinnie Pedi  I can't see the Jets doing any worse than 9 wins and that is if they upgrade only moderately. If Idzik does well in FAcy and the draft, I can see 10/11 wins. It is very tough though at this point to predict, but you are in the ball park with 9/10 wins.

Pat d
Pat d

Look at film and tell me how many times Johnny Football was bailed out by a great WR. Without major upgrade at WR he would be a disappointment. Though he would most likely beat out Geno in a competition.

kniff
kniff

@JCuratola3  Lets get our O line at its strongest level possible, get our WR and TE corps to equally as threatening levels, and then go after an insurance type project QB in the mid levels of the draft...


Make it so we're strong with or without Geno working out as our main guy... and make signing with the Jets in our near future a very intriguing idea for any potential/available QB.

a57se
a57se

@JCuratola3  

How high do you think we would have to trade up to get him?

harvlis
harvlis

@levi Absolutely, if Idzik does his job, they are going to have to worry about us.  The strength of record means nothing.  Teams are different, year to year.  If we take it to the next level, it won't mean a thing. 

jetlife
jetlife

@D'Apostraphe Lewis  Completely agree on the Steelers. And thank god another chance at home. That was embarrassing how they overtook the stadium in the 4th Q this year. I think we need to especially push for season tix to make it out that game. I try to make it to one game a year, so I'm eyeing that one in particular.

koala
koala

@a57se  i think id take Calvin Pryor. We have good depth at safety but I think you need that intimidation factor (SF, Seattle) that we currently dont have in the secondary

jroc
jroc

@a57se  Dix, Gilbert, or trade a few slots back and target Amaro 

jetlife
jetlife

@a57se  Honestly, I do not care what position they choose to address, as long as that player is a starter day 1. We need immediate production. A "project" player early on is not acceptable to me.

D'Apostraphe Lewis
D'Apostraphe Lewis

@a57se  I like that trade you've pulled off on behalf of the Browns. I do find it hard to believe that Dallas doesn't go D with their first pick. That being said, I am extremely tempted to go with Clinton-Dix in this scenario.


I truly believe Idzik, to a reasonable extent, employs the BPA strategy. As he said, "the free agency period is about filling the holes on our roster, the draft is about talent acquisition." 


So Ha Ha is my choice here, closely followed by Jace Amaron then Allen Robinson.

1969JAN12th
1969JAN12th

@a57se  I've been comparing some measurables of Brandin Cooks (WR) Oregon State to Tavon Austin (WR) West Virginia...their college (final season) ht, wt,  receptions/TDs & 40 times are similar. I've seen some video and he has a lot to love. Why wouldn't he be a great fit for us, assuming we sign a big WR in FA ? Can Brandin reproduce a little Geno/Tavon mojo ?

(especially if Watkins/Evans/Lee/Ebron are already off the board......)

Brendan
Brendan

@Pat d  Well, last year you were predicting worse than 8-8, so with your biased factored in, a nice 10-win season sounds about right. 

Brendan
Brendan

@j3tsfan29  Hi, can you please pretend the Jets have one of the best DL's in the NFL and that will drastically impact the passing games of opposing teams? 

Vinnie Pedi
Vinnie Pedi

We should have swept the patriots last year. If we had week 17 Geno when we played them week 2, we would've swept the pats. The same logic can be applied since the pats are always easier to beat early in the season, its post-bye they are historically consistent.

For the first time in a long time, our jets are the most stable team in the afc east.

j3tsfan29
j3tsfan29

You don't care for a smaller version of tebow except he can actually throw but chooses not to!?

soprano
soprano

@a57se @soprano


Thanks a57se. I'm adding that site to my favorites.

Still hoping its done on thejetsblog, though.

levi
levi

@a57se I figure you owe me more than one for putting up with you  :)

D'Apostraphe Lewis
D'Apostraphe Lewis

@jetlife @D'Apostraphe Lewis  Wasn't in Metlife for that one, but I was there the season before when the Niners whomped us so yeah, I can imagine what the stands looked like by just replacing the red with yellow. 


It's pretty damn disheartening when that happens. 

a57se
a57se

@D'Apostraphe Lewis @a57se 

With Jerry Jones running the show and nothing across from Dez Bryant, I can't see the Cowgirls passing on  Marqice Lee here.....Common sense would say draft O'line or D for Dallas.

Interesting choice with Dix......

juunit
juunit

@1969JAN12th @a57se 

The thing is, we already have a starting slot receiver in Kerley. What we really need is a guy who can start on the outside. 

I also wouldn't just assume that he's going to run a 4.2 something 40 like Austin did. There are quite a few guys in this draft that are going to have really fast 40 times, but predicting under 4.3 probably isn't a safe bet, only because it's so ridiculously fast. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Hanknaples  Is this Hank correcting Fonzie? Fonzie didn't sign this one, I have so many questions!

Brendan
Brendan

@j3tsfan29  How good was the Giants' secondary when they won their SB's? No better than the Jets' last year. 


Obviously the DB's need to play better, but you're ignoring half of the pass defense equation. 


The Jets were 17th against the pass per Football Outsiders, which is average. They need to improve, but they're nowhere near the pits of the league. 

j3tsfan29
j3tsfan29

I can as soon as the defense can stop the pass. D lines awesome but they can't stop the wr from getting open or just being more physical for the ball. That's all my point is. I even started off by saying "if they don't fix the SECONDARY".

j3tsfan29
j3tsfan29

Did you not read what I said? Well in case you didn't my point was that Johnny runs even when his wrs are wide open! You know who used to do the same? Tim freakin tebow. That's the only way these two are similar.

JCuratola3
JCuratola3

@j3tsfan29  How in ANY way at all. Can you relate Manziel to Tebow? Please id love this. Manziel is a QB Tebow is a RB. 

Brendan
Brendan

@JCuratola3 He's a short QB who doesn't throw over the top. Look at Geno. He's 6'2" (taller than JOHNNY FOOTBAW!!) and throws over the top, so his release point is at least 6'2", probably a little higher. Manziel is short and he throws short, it will be easy for 6'5" defensive linemen to block his passes. He also has a slow release, making his on-the-run flicks and quick passes a dicier proposition. When he rolls out, to get passes off under pressure he sacrifices arm strength for a quicker release. In the NFL, those are going to be interceptions or batted passes way more often than they were in the college ranks. Like that gif Marcus posted, he basically just turns and throws a pass without looking, if he did that in the NFL I would hope he got benched. You can't play like that at the next level, and he's also not going to be the pinball he was in college. Now? Every player on a defense is as fast as him, save for maybe the 350 pound nose tackles. Unless he learns to slide/run out of bounds, he'll be destroyed. 


So, let's say Manziel changes his style of play, quickens his release, stops thinking run-first and becomes a mobile pocket passer. Is that QB really a franchise-altering QB? The 6'-nothing QB with an average arm and 3/4's release? Is it even possible for him to change his style of play? 


I still see a weaker-armed Michael Vick. Manziel is more accurate and more instinctive as a player, but his shortcomings are glaring to me. I can't believe people are considering taking Manziel over Bridgewater, that's insane to me. 

JCuratola3
JCuratola3

@Brendan whats wrong with his mechanics? his decision making could be a little better but he had some good wrs to help him out. His style of play is what can potentially make him a great qb. 

a57se
a57se

@soprano @a57se  

You're Welcome! 

Steiny usually does stuff like that but I haven't seen a post from him in a long, long time!

I am sure as we get closer to FA, there will be posts on who is available.....


a57se
a57se

@juunit @Marcus Armstrong@a57se@jetlife 

A site that Lande has been doing some writing for is attempting to do the team needs......it's called Sports on Earth.

I read one of their GM for a Day pieces and it seemed pretty decent.

juunit
juunit

@Marcus Armstrong @juunit@a57se@jetlife 

Yup. Although it's hard for me to even get mad about the team needs thing. Because how many places accurately understand all 32 team's needs? PFF and maybe Football Outsiders?

a57se
a57se

@Marcus Armstrong @juunit@a57se@jetlife 

Comprehensive is true!

I prefer Gabriel, Lande, Miller, Waldman and Galko......that group gives a pretty good perspective for me when I look at tape of guys they have evaluated.

juunit
juunit

@a57se @juunit@jetlife 

They've been around for a while, and a bunch of the stuff they report first ends up being true. I think they've got some legitimate sources, ie actual scouts. I know that Campbell was actually at the Senior Bowl, so it makes sense that he'd have some conversations with the guys there during practices. 

a57se
a57se

@juunit @a57se@jetlife 

I haven't heard that concern for Boyd........I don't know where Walter Football gets their stuff but they come up with some off the wall stuff.

juunit
juunit

@a57se @juunit@jetlife 

I don't think so really. One game with unfamiliar teammates isn't going to do much to hurt a guy. Walterfootball asked a bunch of scouts and the consensus was a day 2 pick. The interesting bit there was they apparently have reason to doubt his intelligence. Which is obviously a big problem for an NFL QB if true. 

a57se
a57se

@juunit @a57se@jetlife 

Boyd really hurt his own stock with that showing at the Sr, Bowl......I see him mainly as a third day QB now.

juunit
juunit

@a57se @juunit@jetlife 

I thought he would've been the best QB in the 2013 draft if he was in it. So I would've wanted to draft him then. But, we just spent a pick on a QB who showed at least something, so I'm not a fan of going after another QB unless I feel like the guy is a sure thing. The only QB I'd really be OK with this year is Bridgewater.

juunit
juunit

@a57se @juunit@jetlife 

Sure, but we wouldn't bother meeting with a guy there was no interest in drafting. I'm sure that if Boyd fell to a certain point in the draft, we'd end up drafting him. Which I would not be a fan of. 

juunit
juunit

@a57se @juunit@jetlife 

I believe my original comment still stands. Though I wouldn't be surprised if we did draft Boyd at some point. He can run the read option that Rex likes, we've already met with him and Rex's son goes to Clemson. Which would of course then be a "scandal" in itself if we drafted a guy from Clemson because of Rex's son. 

a57se
a57se

@juunit @a57se@jetlife 

Oh, OK, Tajh Boyd instead!

Who knows, maybe Derek Carr could START Day 1?

a57se
a57se

@D'Apostraphe Lewis @a57se 

Well Ford is more a designated pass rusher right out of college........a Charles Haley type of guy.

I think our Safety position will be fine if we bring back Ed Reed.

I would also look hard at Carr in this scenario.

D'Apostraphe Lewis
D'Apostraphe Lewis

@a57se @D'Apostraphe Lewis  I agree on Beckham being a great pick at 18. I may actually prefer him to Lee. Not sure if I'd take him over Allen Robinson, though. Still have to see how things shake out over the next couple of months to figure out where I stand on that one.


Would we be putting Ford at OLB in your scenario? And yes, based solely on the highlight reel I've seen, Gilbert would be an exciting guy to add to that defense. Especially if we've sured up our safety position enough so that these CBs can feel a little more comfortable taking a gamble. 

a57se
a57se

@D'Apostraphe Lewis @a57se 

I really like Odell Beckham Jr. and believe that by the time the draft rolls around, we will be lucky if he is still on the board at 18......so I would take him.

If he was gone as well......I would try and trade down and if I couldn't, I'd probably take the CB Justin Gilbert if we hadn't signed a top CB in FA.

If we had signed a CB, I'd take a hard look at Dee Ford and Kelvin Benjamin.....

a57se
a57se

@D'Apostraphe Lewis  

Hahaha......exactly! The first 4 draft picks we actually needed starters so they were given priority.......we didn't need a starter for other positions as we had reasonably good starters coming in at those places.

D'Apostraphe Lewis
D'Apostraphe Lewis

@a57se @D'Apostraphe Lewis  haha well there were very few positions we didn't need last season so yes, that applies.

a57se
a57se

@D'Apostraphe Lewis  

Well let's see:

We needed a CB after trading Revis and we drafted Milliner.

We needed a D-Lineman after losing Devito and moving Coples to OLB and we drafted Sheldon

We needed a QB and we drafted Geno.

We needed an Offensive guard and we drafted Winters.

We needed a FB and we drafted Bohanon.

We also needed depth on the O'line so we drafted two developmental guys in Aboushi and Campbell.

I'd say we drafted by the best player who filled a need strategy.


D'Apostraphe Lewis
D'Apostraphe Lewis

@a57se  Not if Idzik didn't see players of value at those positions fall to the Jets during the draft, therefore confirming that he sees the draft as a means talent acquisition rather than a way to patch up the holes of the roster, thus illustrating the point I made a few posts ago about how we can expect the Jets to approach the draft.


Boy, now I see how people get sucked into long, pointless, circular arguments on this (and every other) message board. 

a57se
a57se

@D'Apostraphe Lewis @a57se 

EDIT:

Seeing how they didn't draft anyone at those "bigger Need" positions, I'd say your evaluation of what the team needed vs. Idzik and Rex' opinion were vastly different.

D'Apostraphe Lewis
D'Apostraphe Lewis

@a57se @D'Apostraphe Lewis  Sure, but they certainly had a bigger need at TE, WR, Safety.. 


That's Tyler Eiffert, Cordarelle Patterson (wouldn't have been too upset in hindsight) or Kenny Vaccaro. But Sheldon was BPA, clearly. 

a57se
a57se

@D'Apostraphe Lewis  

Oh, I disagree with your take on why we picked Sheldon.

The Jets were planning on moving Coples to the Rush OLB position long before the Draft. They also lost Devito in free agency. They definitely had a need for a DT like Richardson......

D'Apostraphe Lewis
D'Apostraphe Lewis

Still, Idzik's approach that the draft is about talent acquisition, not patching up roster holes, therefore Dix would be the pick here (based on the big board, which of course will change drastically over the next few months and is up for debate as it stands). 


This is how we ended up with Sheldon at #13 as opposed to, say, Tyler Eiffert.

a57se
a57se

@jake100 @a57se@D'Apostraphe Lewis 

I think Miles has a chance to be very good so I wouldn't set this as any type of priority given our other areas of need. That and this years Safety Crop is not highly regarded. I have seen it called the weakest position group of the draft.

UncleJoesJetFarm
UncleJoesJetFarm

@a57se @D'Apostraphe Lewis  

Its not the quantity, its the quality. I do agree though, that it is not  by far, the highest priority, but the position definitely can use an upgrade, hopefully via the draft, in the mid rounds.

a57se
a57se

@D'Apostraphe Lewis

I don't see Safety as a position of need if we bring back Reed which I think is pretty much assured.

Between Reed, Landry, Allen, Jarret, Bush and Miles, we have too many already........

D'Apostraphe Lewis
D'Apostraphe Lewis

@a57se @D'Apostraphe Lewis  Agreed, Dix is an interesting choice. And I don't fancy myself a scout, but based on most the big boards that are currently out there, he's by far the best player still available and it is at a position of need, which is a bonus (depending on how FA shakes out, of course) 


edit: typo on AMARO in my first comment

juunit
juunit

@a57se @juunit 

For me, the interviews would make him or break him. And since we don't have any access to those, I'll remain ambiguous about him. 

a57se
a57se

@juunit @a57se 

I have no idea what I'd do if he fell to us.........he is like an over-the-top Brett Favre/Fran Tarkenton Clone who could be the biggest flame-out ever!

juunit
juunit

@a57se  

I expect he's gonna be a very divisive guy. Some people wouldn't sign him as a UDFA, others are willing to trade up in the first for him. 

He's an exciting player and can obviously make some plays. I worry about his pocket passing ability, but honestly my biggest concern is Johnny Manziel the person not Johnny Manziel the football player. 

a57se
a57se

@juunit @a57se 

Draft Breakdown has a few games up for him......That is a pretty decent resource for us folks who don't watch a ton of college games.


I'll have to leave Manziel on the board in my next mock scenario!

juunit
juunit

@a57se @juunit 

Didn't watch a lot of Notre Dame. But Mayock is the commentator for Notre Dame so I'll see what he says about him during the combine. I've learned to really respect his opinion on prospect stuff. And he'll have watched every one of Niklas' games.  

I'd be tempted, sure. I'd be very worried about it, but it's hard to deny his talent. 

a57se
a57se

@juunit @a57se 

You can see the guy getting better through the course of the season watching his game tapes......very impressive blocker (Better then the other TE's in this class) and makes nice plays in the passing game.  Upside is very high for this guy.

Hey, would you be tempted if Johnny Football fell to 18?

juunit
juunit

@a57se  

Well, at least there's one TE you'll be talking about in the lead up to the draft. 

a57se
a57se

@juunit @a57se@1969JAN12th 

I watched some more tape of Troy Niklas and that kid is really impressive. I didn't know this is only his second year playing TE........I'd take him in a heartbeat.

juunit
juunit

@a57se @juunit@1969JAN12th 

He could start on the outside. Holmes gets plenty of reps there. But he's best served as a slot guy. And there are better options for actual WIDE outs. 

a57se
a57se

@juunit @1969JAN12th@a57se 

Someone on this Blog vehemently argued with me that Cooks wasn't 'just a Slot receiver"......I can't recall who it was.