USATSI_7498572_110579513_lowres

PFF’s Secret Superstar: Kenrick Ellis

As we mentioned yesterday, the guys over at PFF have been running their annual “Secret Superstar” series, where they use data from last year to identify an under-the-radar performer who could star for each team next season. The Jets’ article is now up on their site and features this year’s choice, Kenrick Ellis.

Nathan Jahnke writes:

Despite never playing more than 16 snaps against the run in a game all season, he definitely made the most of his opportunity … He ended up making 17 run stops on 114 run snaps on the season, which gave him a Run Stop Percentage of 14.9%. Over the last six years, John Henderson in 2010 was the only defensive or nose tackle with at least 100 snaps against the run and a better Run Stop Percentage. He was also 1.7% better than the second-best defensive tackle in Run Stop Percentage; teammate Damon Harrison. While his strength was in stopping the run, he also had seven hurries on 85 pass rushes.

Well done to those of you who correctly predicted this.

To read the full story, click here.

Bent, TheJetsBlog.com

Ellis is a player whose growth has been evident since he was drafted. Injuries and legal troubles certainly slowed his progression, but his consistency last season was terrific. The Jets were very fortunate to keep intact the defensive line that played so well together as a unit last year, but as the article notes, retaining Ellis when his contract expires at the end of this season is going to be a challenge as there will surely be teams interested in giving him a starting role.

Early in the season, some back issues ate into Ellis’ playing time, but with Damon Harrison playing so well, there was no real need for Ellis to play more than he did. However, the Jets started using packages with both of them in the game together more and more as the season went on so they were able to get him on the field more. Harrison does have some knee issues in his past, so it’s important that the Jets can feel confident that they have an adequate replacement in the event he can’t stay healthy all year again.

Bonus Link: Here’s the GIF special I did on Ellis before last season.




79 comments
Jerry
Jerry

This guy has a monster body, hoping he has a good breakout season. 

bob
bob

All Ellis and Harrison  needs to do is stay healthy. So lets see what happens this year. However where looking very strong up the middle of the field with David Harrison and Calvin Pryor. Also in addition to that I Like Antonio Allen and Dawan Landry.


I'll be watching hoping we don't get another Chris Jenkins. Yikes. Don't think that the case though.


X factors. Milliner, Patterson, McDougle.  As for Kyle Wilson at least he stays on the field and is a solid player.

Iain Bartholomew
Iain Bartholomew

One thing that I think would not suck would be if we extended some guys before they play out the final year of their contract...

Joseph Koll
Joseph Koll

What channel is Ranger game on Optimum???? Please help

Francesco Bruno
Francesco Bruno

Chris Johnson@ChrisJohnson28 38m

Let's bring Andre johnson to the jets legooo

kniff
kniff

I for one, love the depth we currently have have on the D line... it allows us to manage injuries AND provide some renewed energy when needed.


I'm not tryin' to hear ANY talk of trading Harrison or Ellis...but if an O LINE stud is made available this summer, I'm ALL ears, and more than willing to evaluate the possibilities...
but the D line is off limits!!

harold
harold

Kendrick Ellis is big time. To me he is better than Harrison if healthy. However being available is important, so I like him as a backup because of his injury history.

jetsfan14
jetsfan14

We are really lucky to have Harrison and Ellis on the same team. Ellis would be starting on just about any other team. The depth on the D-line, with Ellis and Douzable in back-up roles is incredible. I wish our O-line had that kind of depth.

Monty
Monty

These are the same quacks who left Wilk of off the top 101. I'm not going to start believing what they say just because I may like it. They can keep their stats.

I hope Ellis continues to improve. The depth on d line will be unmatched. 

gusto
gusto

I think Kenrick Ellis will outplay Snacks and be the Week 1 starter this year. A healthy Ellis could be the #1 NT in football by the bye week this season.

williamg1
williamg1

I think people made a convincing case for Coples. Imagine if he has a breakout year? If Barnes can stay healthy, we may not need our CBs to cover for more than 3 seconds. 

Bent
Bent moderator

With the 6-foot-4, 340-pound Ellis in the game, the Jets allowed only 2.59 yards per rush, according to NFL stats. Without him, they yielded 3.40 -- a team-high 0.81 differential.


Whoa.

NYCPEinGermany
NYCPEinGermany

@bob

Our DL is scary. Want it to stay together as long as possible.


Also, no one talks much about Demario Davis - entering his 3rd year, he could be ready to jump to the next level as well.

bob
bob

Ok dis is what I got to say about dis one. You try running da ball or passing da ball up the middle we gonna punch you right in da nose ..Dats Right! In Da Nose!

Bent
Bent moderator

@Hanknaples I never said I hope Ellis unseats Harrison from his spot on the defensive line.  Never.

Brendan
Brendan

@Hanknaples Ellis hasn't reached his ceiling, either. 


You have this weird thing where you pit two Jet players against each when no one else is doing that. Harrison is great. He's a great story, he's a great run-stuffing NT and he might one day be a great interior pass rusher, but he's not yet. Ellis doesn't have his injury history, is quicker and more explosive (despite being a larger person) and has shown an ability to create pressure that Harrison hasn't yet. 


Can you maybe just root for Ellis to be really good and for Harrison to be really good and for WIlkerson to be really good and for Richardson and Coples and THE DOOOOOOOZ to be really good? Aren't you a Jets fan? You should be rooting for all the Jets' players to do well, not just one of them. 

Bent
Bent moderator

@Hanknaples He will continue to play every down unless he doesn't...like last year when he didn't?  


Barring injury, Harrison isn't going to see much time in the sub-package.  That's as it should be because they should keep him fresh.  He'll get third down work in short yardage and when other teams go no-huddle to keep the base personnel on the field.

Brendan
Brendan

@Hanknaples Rex Ryan is the biggest jerk in sports for not playing his 360 pound nose tackle with multiple knee surgeries 900 snaps a season. I've seen the light, Team Fonk. 

Bent
Bent moderator

@Hanknaples


"He'll never forget the date -- Nov. 29 -- because it was his birthday. It was a torn meniscus, which required surgery -- the first of four operations, two on each knee." - ESPN on Harrison


As a fan, you may turn a blind eye to this.  However, as a writer, I am compelled to be as comprehensive as possible.


Unfortunately for you, accusing me of twisting the facts because I'm the BIGGEST JETS APOLOGIST IN THE WORLD here doesn't really work, because if I was a Jets apologist, I'd be ignoring this potential negative.

Brendan
Brendan

I'm enjoying these posts, man. Imagine what you could do outside of MS Paint (j/k). But seriously, keep them coming. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Monty Analyzing stats =/= compiling them


The grading system is still the best thing we have as fans to get an idea of how guys play on a per-play basis. 

Pat d
Pat d

william1

Pressure up front is how you stop the pass.

Bent
Bent moderator

@williamg1


I think Coples is a great call if you're picking a breakout player based on potential.  This aims to pick one based on past performance.  Coples didn't grade out that well according to their system due to his slow start (which we can at least partially attribute to injury and role change).

Joseph Koll
Joseph Koll

Thank you! Found it on 146. Why isn't this game on Primetime? All about money!

Cang
Cang

@Brendan Oh you read the Tebow one too??? I thought no one saw that. Yeah but MS Paint is probably the easiest for me to use don't judge! 


Thoughts on Patterson? To me, he's not a long term solution, but I think he can be solid if healthy. What stands out to me was the 2 times that he was an outside, every down CB, he had 4 picks (2013 and 2010 with the Eagles).

Bent
Bent moderator

@jake100 @Brendan Damn right I'm ornery when someone decides to question my objectivity with every single post and calls me (in all capital letters) the biggest Jets apologist on the planet when I pride myself on the balanced and comprehensive coverage I aim to provide TJB readers with.


Also, Harrison is one of my favorite players and I detest the fact that Fonzie constantly implies I am overly critical of him, which could make any reader perceive that I don't like him.


...as proven by your reading of the situation.


Fonzie can root against Jets players all he likes.  He can even think he's in the right as he does it.  Don't expect me not to respond when my honesty is challenged though.

Brendan
Brendan

@jake100 So in your  book openly rooting against the Jets and rooting for them to succeed are one and the same? Good to know. 

Brendan
Brendan

@jake100 It's actually insulting to say it's "both sides" when one guy is openly rooting for Kenrick Ellis to do worse than his teammate. It's not both sides, it's the side that roots for one player because that player got into a camp scuffle with another player that side openly hates: Nick Mangold. 


Yes, superfans Hank and Fonzie, the "side" you think is just as responsible for "internal fan bicker" as fans that root for the whole team, hate Nick Mangold. Because that's a rational thing a Jet fan would do, right? 


Stop it, Joseph. The two sides are not equals. 

Bent
Bent moderator

Yeah, Joey, they do nothing but criticize Ellis and Po'uha in an effort to make Harrison look better.  They've even criticized Richardson and Wilkerson, saying Harrison deserves all the credit for their success.
It all goes back to when Harrison and Mangold had a training camp scuffle and Fonzie or Hank (can't remember which) - despite never having seen Harrison play - predicted Harrison would be really good just because of their distaste for Brendan and his favorite player.
Ever since then, Harrison can do no wrong and deserves all the credit for any defensive successes, even when he isn't on the field.  Since it's pretty much the only prediction they've made that turned out right, it's not surprising they would cling to it.

Brendan
Brendan

@jake100 That's not Hank, it's Fonzie. And I can assure you that Hank and Fonzie do not root for Kenrick Ellis. They spent years (literally) talking about how he's a bad person. 

Cang
Cang

@Brendan I mean Miami moved him ALL OVER. He was just about everywhere. I think he's tough enough to do that. This makes me think if Landry is on the way out. They have their SS (Allen), FS (Pryor), thumper (Jarrett) and developmental project (Bush). Landry is the oldest of the group. 


Back to Patterson, he isn't afraid to make a play, and is going to be a vital piece of Rex's D. He has seen the same things I have, and he also has a PHD in stymieing elite offenses.  

Brendan
Brendan

 So like a rover? Interesting, I hadn't considered it. But Rex does love those tricky 3-safety looks and things of that nature. Maybe they bring in a 5th CB and make Patterson a 3rd safety or something? 

Cang
Cang

@Brendan Well stated. I think that he's a Rex guy in every way- he's that mix of brainy, tough, flexible, and athletic that he loves. I think they could utilize him like a 3rd MLB, roaming around in a mix of man and zone, free to kinda sniff the plays out while Milliner and Wilson/Walls/McDougle start on the outside.  

Brendan
Brendan

 Patterson (best case) is a legitimate starting CB that can be a consistent influence on the up-and-down nature of the youngsters that will share the position with him. Worst case is he gets hurt and doesn't ever grow into the role of everyday starting CB. 


One thing that I like about him and wouldn't be surprised seeing is if they move Patterson to the inside when they bring in a 4th CB like Walls or Lankster, guys who are much better when they have the sideline to work with. Patterson being a veteran with slot experience could be big while those young players develop. 


As far as his play, I think you were pretty spot on with his pro's/con's. He's quick, not fast, but smart and instinctive. While the team has been gearing more towards getting younger and faster, having a few well-placed veterans with a high football IQ like that can be huge for the team's development. 

Brendan
Brendan

@Disgruntled Jets Fan I don't think so, but in my mind there is a rolling roster of sons that takes over the more-insane alter ego of the Hank Naples TJB persona.